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Home » Predictions » Others » Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Valladolid Promesas Valladolid Promesas
PREDICTION No tip
Gimnastica de Torrelavega Gimnastica de Torrelavega
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Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:00
Valladolid Promesas Valladolid Promesas
2.08
X
3.00
Gimnastica de Torrelavega Gimnastica de Torrelavega
3.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega

Important information for your tip for Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid Promesas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnastica de Torrelavega in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Gimnastica de Torrelavega scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ Valladolid Promesas X Gimnastica de Torrelavega – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Valladolid Promesas – Winning probability: 38.34% | Fair line: 2.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.43% | Fair line: 3.29
🔴 Gimnastica de Torrelavega – Winning probability: 31.23% | Fair line: 3.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Valladolid Promesas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega

Should you bet on Valladolid Promesas?

🔵 Valladolid Promesas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $410.40;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$209.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gimnastica de Torrelavega?

🔴 Gimnastica de Torrelavega: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $688.20;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Valladolid Promesas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Valladolid Promesas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Valladolid Promesas.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valladolid Promesas x Gimnastica de Torrelavega

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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