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Home » Predictions » Valladolid x Valencia Betting tips for December 13 in Spain La Liga
Friday, 13 December 2024, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Valladolid Valladolid
PREDICTION Valencia Wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Valencia Valencia
ODD: @2.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Valladolid x Valencia Betting tips for December 13 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Valladolid x Valencia, Friday, 13/12/2024
📅 13/12/2024
20:00
Valladolid Valladolid
3.06
X
3.00
Valencia Valencia
2.45

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Valladolid x Valencia:

🔮 Valencia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valencia, you can win up to $1225.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Valladolid x Valencia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Valencia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-276.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Valencia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Valladolid x Valencia, with Valladolid as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Valladolid x Valencia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Valladolid x Valencia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Valladolid x Valencia for the Spain La Liga – 13 of December

🏟️ Valladolid X Valencia – Spain La Liga
📅 13 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Valladolid – Winning probability: 21.11% | Fair line: 4.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.60% | Fair line: 3.27
🔴 Valencia – Winning probability: 48.29% | Fair line: 2.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Valladolid
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Valladolid x Valencia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1235879 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valladolid x Valencia

Is it a good idea to bet on Valladolid?

🔵 Valladolid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $432.60;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$357.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $620.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is betting on Valencia worth it?

🔴 Valencia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $696.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Valladolid x Valencia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Valladolid
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valladolid x Valencia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Valladolid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Valladolid.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Valencia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valladolid x Valencia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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