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Home » Predictions » Vallieres x GOAL FC Betting tips for November 30 in France Cup
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 16h00 France Cup
Vallieres Vallieres
PREDICTION Vallieres wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
GOAL FC GOAL FC
ODD: @2.24 Don't miss this prediction!

Vallieres x GOAL FC Betting tips for November 30 in France Cup

Our betting tip for Vallieres x GOAL FC, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
16:00
Vallieres Vallieres
2.24
X
3.13
GOAL FC GOAL FC
2.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vallieres x GOAL FC:

🔮 Vallieres wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vallieres, you can win up to $1120.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Vallieres x GOAL FC:

👉 Vallieres did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 Vallieres matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vallieres x GOAL FC for the France Cup – 30 of November

🏟️ Vallieres X GOAL FC – France Cup
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Vallieres – Winning probability: 49.68% | Fair line: 2.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.11% | Fair line: 4.74
🔴 GOAL FC – Winning probability: 29.21% | Fair line: 3.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vallieres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vallieres x GOAL FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vallieres x GOAL FC

Should you bet on Vallieres?

🔵 Vallieres: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $620.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $447.30
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$342.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on GOAL FC?

🔴 GOAL FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $536.50;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$173.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vallieres x GOAL FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vallieres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vallieres x GOAL FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Vallieres, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Vallieres.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Vallieres.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vallieres x GOAL FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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