Valour FC x Atletico Ottawa Betting tips for September 9 in Canada Premier League

Our betting tip for Valour FC x Atletico Ottawa, Monday, 9/9/2024

📅 9/9/2024 21:00

Valour FC 3.50

X 3.30

Atletico Ottawa 1.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Valour FC x Atletico Ottawa:

🔮 Atletico Ottawa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Ottawa, you can win up to $950.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Valour FC x Atletico Ottawa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valour FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Ottawa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Valour FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Valour FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Atletico Ottawa.

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Analysis from Valour FC x Atletico Ottawa for the Canada Premier League – 9 of September

When the best bet on Valour FC x Atletico Ottawa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1177364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valour FC x Atletico Ottawa

Should you bet on Valour FC?

🔵 Valour FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $250.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $529.00;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$241.00.

Is betting on Atletico Ottawa worth it?

🔴 Atletico Ottawa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $603.00;
• And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$273.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Valour FC x Atletico Ottawa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Valour FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valour FC x Atletico Ottawa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Valour FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Valour FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Atletico Ottawa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valour FC x Atletico Ottawa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.