Vanspor FK x Umraniyespor Betting tips for December 14 in Türkiye 1 Lig
| 📅 14/12/2025 13:00 |
 Vanspor FK1.50 |
X 3.90 |
Umraniyespor  5.30 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vanspor FK x Umraniyespor:
🔮 Vanspor FK wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vanspor FK, you can win up to $750.00!
Important information for your tip for Vanspor FK x Umraniyespor:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Vanspor FK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Umraniyespor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Vanspor FK conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Umraniyespor conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Vanspor FK x Umraniyespor for the Türkiye 1 Lig – 14 of December
🏟️ Vanspor FK X Umraniyespor – Türkiye 1 Lig
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Vanspor FK – Winning probability: 76.02% | Fair line: 1.32
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.19% | Fair line: 6.58
🔴 Umraniyespor – Winning probability: 8.79% | Fair line: 11.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Vanspor FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Vanspor FK x Umraniyespor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Vanspor FK x Umraniyespor
Is betting on Vanspor FK worth it?
🔵 Vanspor FK: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
- And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.
Is betting on Umraniyespor worth it?
🔴 Umraniyespor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $387.00
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$523.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vanspor FK x Umraniyespor
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Vanspor FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vanspor FK x Umraniyespor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Vanspor FK and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Vanspor FK.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vanspor FK x Umraniyespor
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
