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Home » Predictions » Others » Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar Betting tips for November 27 in North Macedonia First League
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 12h00 North Macedonia First League
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
FK Gostivar FK Gostivar
ODD: @3.24 Don't miss this prediction!

Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar Betting tips for November 27 in North Macedonia First League

Our betting tip for Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
12:00
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje
3.10
X
3.24
FK Gostivar FK Gostivar
2.09

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1620.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vardar Skopje in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $132.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Gostivar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $235.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar for the North Macedonia First League – 27 of November

🏟️ Vardar Skopje X FK Gostivar – North Macedonia First League
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Vardar Skopje – Winning probability: 24.98% | Fair line: 4.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.07% | Fair line: 3.12
🔴 FK Gostivar – Winning probability: 42.95% | Fair line: 2.33
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Vardar Skopje
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar

Is it worth betting on Vardar Skopje?

🔵 Vardar Skopje: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $716.80;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$36.80.

Should you bet on FK Gostivar?

🔴 FK Gostivar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $468.70
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Vardar Skopje
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Vardar Skopje, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Vardar Skopje.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FK Gostivar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vardar Skopje x FK Gostivar

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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