Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for October 19 in Copa do Brasil

Our betting tip for Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 21:30

Vasco da Gama 2.48

X 3.10

Atletico Mineiro 2.77

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro

Important information for your tip for Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $240.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico Mineiro, Vasco da Gama scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Vasco da Gama conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Atletico Mineiro conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro for the Copa do Brasil – 19 of October

When the best bet on Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203916 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro

Should you bet on Vasco da Gama?

🔵 Vasco da Gama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $518.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $609.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Mineiro?

🔴 Atletico Mineiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $637.20;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$2.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Vasco da Gama, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Vasco da Gama.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vasco da Gama x Atletico Mineiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.