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Home » Predictions » Others » Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda Betting tips for February 1 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 19h30 Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
PREDICTION Vasco da Gama wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
ODD: @1.32 Don't miss this prediction!

Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda Betting tips for February 1 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca

Our betting tip for Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda, Saturday, 1/2/2025
📅 1/2/2025
19:30
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
1.32
X
4.40
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
8.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda:

🔮 Vasco da Gama wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vasco da Gama, you can win up to $660.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-92.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Volta Redonda in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $535.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Vasco da Gama scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Volta Redonda, Vasco da Gama scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda, with Vasco da Gama as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Vasco da Gama conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Volta Redonda.
👉 Vasco da Gama is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 1 of February

🏟️ Vasco da Gama X Volta Redonda – Brazil Campeonato Carioca
📅 1 of February, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Vasco da Gama – Winning probability: 83.96% | Fair line: 1.19
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.60% | Fair line: 7.35
🔴 Volta Redonda – Winning probability: 2.45% | Fair line: 40.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1254613 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda

Is it worth betting on Vasco da Gama?

🔵 Vasco da Gama: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 83.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – profiting $268.80;
  • And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$108.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $476.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$384.00.

Is betting on Volta Redonda worth it?

🔴 Volta Redonda: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $150.00
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$830.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Vasco da Gama and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Vasco da Gama.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Vasco da Gama.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vasco da Gama x Volta Redonda

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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