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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Velarde x SD Revilla Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 3
Velarde Velarde
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 28% 1 X 2
SD Revilla SD Revilla
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Velarde x SD Revilla Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for Velarde x SD Revilla, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:30
Velarde Velarde
2.27
X
3.25
SD Revilla SD Revilla
2.84

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Velarde x SD Revilla:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

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The main points for the tip for Velarde x SD Revilla:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Velarde in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SD Revilla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, SD Revilla scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 Velarde matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 SD Revilla matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Velarde conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, SD Revilla conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Velarde x SD Revilla

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Velarde x SD Revilla for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Velarde X SD Revilla – Spain Tercera Group 3
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:30
๐Ÿ”ต Velarde – Winning probability: 39.73% | Fair line: 2.52
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.85% | Fair line: 3.14
๐Ÿ”ด SD Revilla – Winning probability: 28.42% | Fair line: 3.52
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Velarde
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velarde x SD Revilla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Velarde x SD Revilla

Should you bet on Velarde?

๐Ÿ”ต Velarde: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $508.00
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$92.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on SD Revilla?

๐Ÿ”ด SD Revilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $515.20
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$204.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Velarde x SD Revilla

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Velarde
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velarde x SD Revilla

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Velarde, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Velarde.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 SD Revilla.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velarde x SD Revilla

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves