Velarde x SD Revilla Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 3
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25/11/2023 15:30 |
 Velarde2.27 |
X 3.25 |
SD Revilla  2.84 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Velarde x SD Revilla:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!
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The main points for the tip for Velarde x SD Revilla: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Velarde in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Velarde x SD Revilla
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Analysis from Velarde x SD Revilla for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 25 of November
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๐๏ธ Velarde X SD Revilla – Spain Tercera Group 3 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velarde x SD Revilla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Velarde x SD Revilla
Should you bet on Velarde?
๐ต Velarde: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $508.00
- And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$92.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$40.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on SD Revilla?
๐ด SD Revilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $515.20
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$204.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Velarde x SD Revilla
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Velarde
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velarde x SD Revilla
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Velarde, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Velarde.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 SD Revilla.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velarde x SD Revilla
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
