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Home » Predictions » Others » Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka Betting tips for November 2 in Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 15h00 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
Velez Mostar Velez Mostar
PREDICTION Borac Banja Luka Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka Betting tips for November 2 in Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga

Our betting tip for Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
15:00
Velez Mostar Velez Mostar
3.30
X
3.28
Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka
1.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka:

🔮 Borac Banja Luka wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borac Banja Luka, you can win up to $975.00!

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The main points for the tip for Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Mostar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borac Banja Luka in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $560.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Borac Banja Luka scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka, with Velez Mostar as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Borac Banja Luka has not lost any of them.
👉 Velez Mostar has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Borac Banja Luka playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka for the Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga – 2 of November

🏟️ Velez Mostar X Borac Banja Luka – Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Velez Mostar – Winning probability: 18.40% | Fair line: 5.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.77% | Fair line: 4.39
🔴 Borac Banja Luka – Winning probability: 58.84% | Fair line: 1.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Velez Mostar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka

Is it a good idea to bet on Velez Mostar?

🔵 Velez Mostar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $414.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$406.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $524.40;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$245.60.

Should you bet on Borac Banja Luka?

🔴 Borac Banja Luka: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – profiting $560.50;
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$150.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Velez Mostar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Velez Mostar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Velez Mostar.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Mostar x Borac Banja Luka

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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