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Home » Predictions » Others » Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre Betting tips for November 8 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Friday, 08 November 2024, 00h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
PREDICTION Velez Sarsfield wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
CA Tigre CA Tigre
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre Betting tips for November 8 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre, Friday, 8/11/2024
📅 8/11/2024
00:15
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
1.47
X
4.03
CA Tigre CA Tigre
6.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre:

🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $735.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $243.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Tigre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $375.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Velez Sarsfield scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against CA Tigre, Velez Sarsfield scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Velez Sarsfield matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre, with Velez Sarsfield as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, CA Tigre conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Velez Sarsfield conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against CA Tigre.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 8 of November

🏟️ Velez Sarsfield X CA Tigre – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 8 of November, 2024 – 00:15
🔵 Velez Sarsfield – Winning probability: 90.91% | Fair line: 1.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.61% | Fair line: 15.13
🔴 CA Tigre – Winning probability: 2.48% | Fair line: 40.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218004 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre

Should you bet on Velez Sarsfield?

🔵 Velez Sarsfield: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 90.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $427.70
  • And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$337.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $212.10;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$717.90.

Is it worth betting on CA Tigre?

🔴 CA Tigre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $115.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$865.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Velez Sarsfield, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Velez Sarsfield.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Velez Sarsfield.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Sarsfield x CA Tigre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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