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Home » Predictions » Others » Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra Betting tips for March 29 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Saturday, 29 March 2025, 00h30 Argentina Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
PREDICTION Velez Sarsfield wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra Betting tips for March 29 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra, Saturday, 29/3/2025
📅 29/3/2025
00:30
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
1.95
X
3.00
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
4.46

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra:

🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-187.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Riestra in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $500.0.
👉 In the last 6 Velez Sarsfield matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 29 of March

🏟️ Velez Sarsfield X Deportivo Riestra – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 29 of March, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Velez Sarsfield – Winning probability: 65.01% | Fair line: 1.54
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.03% | Fair line: 4.34
🔴 Deportivo Riestra – Winning probability: 11.96% | Fair line: 8.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1290768 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra

Is betting on Velez Sarsfield worth it?

🔵 Velez Sarsfield: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $617.50
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$267.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $460.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$310.00.

Should you bet on Deportivo Riestra?

🔴 Deportivo Riestra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $415.20;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$464.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Velez Sarsfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Velez Sarsfield.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Sarsfield x Deportivo Riestra

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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