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Home » Predictions » Others » Velez Sarsfield x Estudiantes LP Betting tips for December 22 in Argentina Trophy of Champions
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 00h00 Argentina Trophy of Champions
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
PREDICTION Velez Sarsfield wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Velez Sarsfield x Estudiantes LP Betting tips for December 22 in Argentina Trophy of Champions

Our betting tip for Velez Sarsfield x Estudiantes LP, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
00:00
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
2.30
X
3.00
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Velez Sarsfield x Estudiantes LP:

🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Important information for your tip for Velez Sarsfield x Estudiantes LP:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-48.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes LP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Estudiantes LP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Estudiantes LP, Velez Sarsfield scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 Velez Sarsfield matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Estudiantes LP conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Estudiantes LP has not lost any of them.
👉 Velez Sarsfield has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Estudiantes LP playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Velez Sarsfield x Estudiantes LP for the Argentina Trophy of Champions – 22 of December

🏟️ Velez Sarsfield X Estudiantes LP – Argentina Trophy of Champions
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Velez Sarsfield – Winning probability: 55.02% | Fair line: 1.82
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.79% | Fair line: 5.32
🔴 Estudiantes LP – Winning probability: 26.19% | Fair line: 3.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Velez Sarsfield and Estudiantes LP.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238712 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Velez Sarsfield x Estudiantes LP

Is it a good idea to bet on Velez Sarsfield?

🔵 Velez Sarsfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $715.00;
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$265.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $380.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is betting on Estudiantes LP worth it?

🔴 Estudiantes LP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $598.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Sarsfield x Estudiantes LP

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Estudiantes LP

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Velez Sarsfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Velez Sarsfield.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Sarsfield x Estudiantes LP

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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