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Home » Predictions » Others » Velez Sarsfield x Huracan Betting tips for December 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 23h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
PREDICTION Velez Sarsfield wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Huracan Huracan
ODD: @1.77 Don't miss this prediction!

Velez Sarsfield x Huracan Betting tips for December 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Velez Sarsfield x Huracan, Sunday, 15/12/2024
📅 15/12/2024
23:00
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
1.77
X
3.36
Huracan Huracan
4.68

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Velez Sarsfield x Huracan:

🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $885.00!

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The main points for the tip for Velez Sarsfield x Huracan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-228.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Huracan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $160.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Huracan, Velez Sarsfield scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 Velez Sarsfield matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Velez Sarsfield x Huracan, with Velez Sarsfield as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Huracan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Velez Sarsfield has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Huracan playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Velez Sarsfield x Huracan for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 15 of December

🏟️ Velez Sarsfield X Huracan – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 15 of December, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Velez Sarsfield – Winning probability: 66.62% | Fair line: 1.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.03% | Fair line: 4.16
🔴 Huracan – Winning probability: 9.35% | Fair line: 10.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velez Sarsfield x Huracan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1237062 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Velez Sarsfield x Huracan

Is it worth betting on Velez Sarsfield?

🔵 Velez Sarsfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.77. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $515.90;
  • And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$185.90.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $566.40;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$193.60.

Should you bet on Huracan?

🔴 Huracan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $331.20
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$578.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Sarsfield x Huracan

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Huracan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Velez Sarsfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Velez Sarsfield.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Velez Sarsfield.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Sarsfield x Huracan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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