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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Velo Clube SP x Mirassol Betting tips for February 1 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 23h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Velo Clube SP Velo Clube SP
PREDICTION No tip
Mirassol Mirassol
Don't miss this prediction!

Velo Clube SP x Mirassol Betting tips for February 1 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Velo Clube SP x Mirassol, Saturday, 1/2/2025
πŸ“… 1/2/2025
23:30
Velo Clube SP Velo Clube SP
4.20
X
3.25
Mirassol Mirassol
1.83

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Velo Clube SP x Mirassol:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Velo Clube SP x Mirassol

Important information for your tip for Velo Clube SP x Mirassol:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Velo Clube SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $265.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mirassol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mirassol scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Velo Clube SP conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mirassol conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Velo Clube SP x Mirassol for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 1 of February

🏟️ Velo Clube SP X Mirassol – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
πŸ“… 1 of February, 2025 – 23:30
πŸ”΅ Velo Clube SP – Winning probability: 20.90% | Fair line: 4.78
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.57% | Fair line: 3.91
πŸ”΄ Mirassol – Winning probability: 53.53% | Fair line: 1.87
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.75 Velo Clube SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Velo Clube SP and Mirassol.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255014 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1Γ—2 market for Velo Clube SP x Mirassol

Should you bet on Velo Clube SP?

πŸ”΅ Velo Clube SP: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $672.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$118.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$155.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mirassol?

πŸ”΄ Mirassol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $448.20;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$11.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Velo Clube SP x Mirassol

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.75 Velo Clube SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Velo Clube SP x Mirassol

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Velo Clube SP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Velo Clube SP.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: -0.5 Mirassol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velo Clube SP x Mirassol

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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