Velo Clube SP x Noroeste Betting tips for January 15 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Velo Clube SP x Noroeste, Wednesday, 15/1/2025

📅 15/1/2025 21:30

Velo Clube SP 2.45

X 2.92

Noroeste 2.82

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Velo Clube SP x Noroeste:

🔮 Noroeste wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Noroeste, you can win up to $1410.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Velo Clube SP x Noroeste: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Velo Clube SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Noroeste in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Noroeste scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Noroeste conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Velo Clube SP conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Noroeste. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Noroeste has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Velo Clube SP x Noroeste?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Velo Clube SP x Noroeste for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 15 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velo Clube SP x Noroeste right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246743 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Velo Clube SP x Noroeste

Should you bet on Velo Clube SP?

🔵 Velo Clube SP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $551.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$69.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $345.60;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$474.40.

Should you bet on Noroeste?

🔴 Noroeste: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $800.80
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$240.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Velo Clube SP x Noroeste

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Velo Clube SP
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velo Clube SP x Noroeste

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Velo Clube SP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Velo Clube SP.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Noroeste.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velo Clube SP x Noroeste

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.