Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas Betting tips for March 29 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 01:00

Venados FC 2.70

X 3.34

Mineros de Zacatecas 2.29

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas

The main points for the tip for Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Venados FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-37.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mineros de Zacatecas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $340.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Venados FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Mineros de Zacatecas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Venados FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Venados FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Venados FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Mineros de Zacatecas has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 29 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1290768 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas

Is it a good idea to bet on Venados FC?

🔵 Venados FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $544.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $631.80;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$98.20.

Should you bet on Mineros de Zacatecas?

🔴 Mineros de Zacatecas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 410 times – profiting $528.90;
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$61.10. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Venados FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Venados FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Venados FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Mineros de Zacatecas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venados FC x Mineros de Zacatecas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.