Verl x Rot-Weiss Essen Betting tips for December 13 in Germany 3. Liga
| π
13/12/2025 15:30 |
Verl2.08 |
X 3.62 |
Rot-Weiss Essen ![]() 2.90 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Verl x Rot-Weiss Essen:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Verl x Rot-Weiss Essen
The main points for the tip for Verl x Rot-Weiss Essen:
π If you had bet $100 on Verl in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $96.0.
π If you had bet $100 on Rot-Weiss Essen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-17.0.
π In the last 7 matches as the home team, Verl scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 7 matches as the away team, Rot-Weiss Essen scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 5 matches as the home team against Rot-Weiss Essen, Verl scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 7 matches as the away team, Rot-Weiss Essen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π Verl is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
π In the last 4 road matches, Rot-Weiss Essen has not lost any of them.
π Verl has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Rot-Weiss Essen playing at home.
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Analysis from Verl x Rot-Weiss Essen for the Germany 3. Liga – 13 of December
ποΈ Verl X Rot-Weiss Essen – Germany 3. Liga
π
13 of December, 2025 – 15:30
π΅ Verl – Winning probability: 49.64% | Fair line: 2.01
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.23% | Fair line: 4.71
π΄ Rot-Weiss Essen – Winning probability: 29.13% | Fair line: 3.43
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Verl
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Verl x Rot-Weiss Essen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452291 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Verl x Rot-Weiss Essen
Is it worth betting on Verl?
π΅ Verl: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
- And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$40.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $550.20;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$239.80.
Is betting on Rot-Weiss Essen worth it?
π΄ Rot-Weiss Essen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $551.00
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$159.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Verl x Rot-Weiss Essen
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Verl
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Verl x Rot-Weiss Essen
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Verl, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Verl.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Verl.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Verl x Rot-Weiss Essen
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Verl