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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป VfB Auerbach x SC Freital Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud
VfB Auerbach VfB Auerbach
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
SC Freital SC Freital
ODD: @3.6 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

VfB Auerbach x SC Freital Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud

Our betting tip for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
18:00
VfB Auerbach VfB Auerbach
2.33
X
3.60
SC Freital SC Freital
2.51

Our algorithm has selected this tip for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1800.00!

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Important information for your tip for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Freital in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $264.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, SC Freital scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, VfB Auerbach conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, SC Freital has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

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Summary

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Analysis from VfB Auerbach x SC Freital for the Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ VfB Auerbach X SC Freital – Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต VfB Auerbach – Winning probability: 32.27% | Fair line: 3.1
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.47% | Fair line: 3.39
๐Ÿ”ด SC Freital – Winning probability: 38.26% | Fair line: 2.61
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 VfB Auerbach
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between VfB Auerbach and SC Freital.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

Is it worth betting on VfB Auerbach?

๐Ÿ”ต VfB Auerbach: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $425.60;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$254.40.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $754.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$44.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Freital?

๐Ÿ”ด SC Freital: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $573.80
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$46.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 VfB Auerbach
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 VfB Auerbach and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 VfB Auerbach.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 SC Freital.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves