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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» VfB Auerbach x SC Freital Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud
VfB Auerbach VfB Auerbach
PREDICTION No tip
SC Freital SC Freital
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VfB Auerbach x SC Freital Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud

Our betting tip for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
18:00
VfB Auerbach VfB Auerbach
2.33
X
3.60
SC Freital SC Freital
2.51

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

Some important points for the tip for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Freital in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $264.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, SC Freital scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, VfB Auerbach conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, SC Freital has not lost any of them.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

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Summary

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Analysis from VfB Auerbach x SC Freital for the Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud – 24 of November

🏟️ VfB Auerbach X SC Freital – Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:00
πŸ”΅ VfB Auerbach – Winning probability: 32.22% | Fair line: 3.1
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.13% | Fair line: 3.43
πŸ”΄ SC Freital – Winning probability: 38.64% | Fair line: 2.59
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 VfB Auerbach
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on VfB Auerbach x SC Freital is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

Is it a good idea to bet on VfB Auerbach?

πŸ”΅ VfB Auerbach: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $425.60
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$254.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $754.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$44.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Freital?

πŸ”΄ SC Freital: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $588.90
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$21.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 VfB Auerbach
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 VfB Auerbach, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 VfB Auerbach.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 SC Freital.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Auerbach x SC Freital

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves