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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga II
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Bundesliga II
VfL Osnabruck VfL Osnabruck
PREDICTION Magdeburg Wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Magdeburg Magdeburg
ODD: @2.35 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
12:00
VfL Osnabruck VfL Osnabruck
2.66
X
3.50
Magdeburg Magdeburg
2.35

Our algorithm has selected this tip for VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Magdeburg wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Magdeburg, you can win up to $1175.00!

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Some important points for the tip for VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on VfL Osnabruck in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Magdeburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, VfL Osnabruck conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Magdeburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, VfL Osnabruck conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Magdeburg.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg

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Summary

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Analysis from VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg for the Germany Bundesliga II – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ VfL Osnabruck X Magdeburg – Germany Bundesliga II
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต VfL Osnabruck – Winning probability: 16.18% | Fair line: 6.18
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.55% | Fair line: 4.43
๐Ÿ”ด Magdeburg – Winning probability: 61.27% | Fair line: 1.63
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 VfL Osnabruck
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg

Is it worth betting on VfL Osnabruck?

๐Ÿ”ต VfL Osnabruck: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $265.60;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$574.40.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$195.00.

Should you bet on Magdeburg?

๐Ÿ”ด Magdeburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $823.50;
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$433.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 VfL Osnabruck
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 VfL Osnabruck, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 VfL Osnabruck.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Magdeburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfL Osnabruck x Magdeburg

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves