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Home » Predictions » Others » Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo Betting tips for November 27 in Italy Serie D Cup
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D Cup
Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia
PREDICTION Vigor Senigallia wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo Betting tips for November 27 in Italy Serie D Cup

Our betting tip for Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
13:30
Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia
1.70
X
3.25
Castelfidardo Castelfidardo
4.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo:

🔮 Vigor Senigallia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vigor Senigallia, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vigor Senigallia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
👉 In the last 4 Vigor Senigallia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo for the Italy Serie D Cup – 27 of November

🏟️ Vigor Senigallia X Castelfidardo – Italy Serie D Cup
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Vigor Senigallia – Winning probability: 75.86% | Fair line: 1.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.20% | Fair line: 7.57
🔴 Castelfidardo – Winning probability: 10.93% | Fair line: 9.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vigor Senigallia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Vigor Senigallia and Castelfidardo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo

Is it worth betting on Vigor Senigallia?

🔵 Vigor Senigallia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $532.00;
  • And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$292.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $292.50
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$577.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Castelfidardo?

🔴 Castelfidardo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$494.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vigor Senigallia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Vigor Senigallia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Vigor Senigallia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vigor Senigallia x Castelfidardo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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