Vigor Senigallia x U.S. Ancona Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 29/9/2024 10:00 |
 Vigor Senigallia2.90 |
X 3.08 |
U.S. Ancona 2.32 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Vigor Senigallia x U.S. Ancona:
🔮 U.S. Ancona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on U.S. Ancona, you can win up to $1160.00!
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The main points for the tip for Vigor Senigallia x U.S. Ancona: 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Vigor Senigallia scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Vigor Senigallia x U.S. Ancona for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September
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🏟️ Vigor Senigallia X U.S. Ancona – Italy Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vigor Senigallia x U.S. Ancona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Vigor Senigallia x U.S. Ancona
Should you bet on Vigor Senigallia?
🔵 Vigor Senigallia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$420.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $665.60;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$14.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on U.S. Ancona?
🔴 U.S. Ancona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $633.60
- And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$113.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vigor Senigallia x U.S. Ancona
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Vigor Senigallia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vigor Senigallia x U.S. Ancona
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Vigor Senigallia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Vigor Senigallia. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vigor Senigallia x U.S. Ancona
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
