Vila Nova x Amazonas FC Betting tips for October 23 in Brazil Serie B
| ๐
23/10/2024 00:30 |
 Vila Nova1.88 |
X 3.10 |
Amazonas FC  4.34 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vila Nova x Amazonas FC:
๐ฎ Vila Nova wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vila Nova, you can win up to $940.00!
|
The main points for the tip for Vila Nova x Amazonas FC: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Vila Nova in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vila Nova x Amazonas FC?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Vila Nova x Amazonas FC for the Brazil Serie B – 23 of October
|
๐๏ธ Vila Nova X Amazonas FC – Brazil Serie B |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Vila Nova and Amazonas FC.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1205088 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Vila Nova x Amazonas FC
Should you bet on Vila Nova?
๐ต Vila Nova: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 640 times – profiting $563.20;
- And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$203.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $462.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$318.00.
Is it worth betting on Amazonas FC?
๐ด Amazonas FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $467.60;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$392.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vila Nova x Amazonas FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Vila Nova
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vila Nova x Amazonas FC
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Vila Nova, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Vila Nova.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vila Nova x Amazonas FC
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
