Vilanova Geltru x UE Vilassar de Mar Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 5
| 📅 14/12/2025 11:00 |
 Vilanova Geltru1.80 |
X 3.38 |
UE Vilassar de Mar  3.88 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vilanova Geltru x UE Vilassar de Mar:
🔮 Vilanova Geltru wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vilanova Geltru, you can win up to $900.00!
Some important points for the tip for Vilanova Geltru x UE Vilassar de Mar:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Vilanova Geltru in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $390.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UE Vilassar de Mar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-76.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Vilanova Geltru scored at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Vilanova Geltru x UE Vilassar de Mar for the Spain Tercera Group 5 – 14 of December
🏟️ Vilanova Geltru X UE Vilassar de Mar – Spain Tercera Group 5
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Vilanova Geltru – Winning probability: 59.57% | Fair line: 1.68
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.09% | Fair line: 3.83
🔴 UE Vilassar de Mar – Winning probability: 14.34% | Fair line: 6.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vilanova Geltru
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Vilanova Geltru and UE Vilassar de Mar.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Vilanova Geltru x UE Vilassar de Mar
Is betting on Vilanova Geltru worth it?
🔵 Vilanova Geltru: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$80.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $618.80
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$121.20.
Should you bet on UE Vilassar de Mar?
🔴 UE Vilassar de Mar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $403.20;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$456.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vilanova Geltru x UE Vilassar de Mar
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vilanova Geltru
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vilanova Geltru x UE Vilassar de Mar
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Vilanova Geltru and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Vilanova Geltru.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 UE Vilassar de Mar.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vilanova Geltru x UE Vilassar de Mar
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
