Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF Betting tips for November 24 in Spain Tercera Group 12

Our betting tip for Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF, Friday, 24/11/2023

📅 24/11/2023 21:00

Villa Sta Brigida 1.85

X 3.30

Arucas CF 3.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF

Important information for your tip for Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Villa Sta Brigida in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arucas CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $329.0. 👉 Villa Sta Brigida did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Arucas CF scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Villa Sta Brigida matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Arucas CF matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF

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Analysis from Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF for the Spain Tercera Group 12 – 24 of November

When the best bet on Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF

Is it worth betting on Villa Sta Brigida?

🔵 Villa Sta Brigida: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $450.50;
• And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$19.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $713.00
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$23.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Arucas CF worth it?

🔴 Arucas CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $448.00;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$392.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Villa Sta Brigida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Villa Sta Brigida, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Villa Sta Brigida.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Arucas CF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villa Sta Brigida x Arucas CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.