Villa Sta Brigida x Union Viera CF Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Tercera Group 12
| 📅 30/10/2024 20:30 |
 Villa Sta Brigida1.68 |
X 3.40 |
Union Viera CF  4.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Villa Sta Brigida x Union Viera CF:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Villa Sta Brigida x Union Viera CF
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Important information for your tip for Villa Sta Brigida x Union Viera CF: 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Villa Sta Brigida scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Villa Sta Brigida x Union Viera CF for the Spain Tercera Group 12 – 30 of October
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🏟️ Villa Sta Brigida X Union Viera CF – Spain Tercera Group 12 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Villa Sta Brigida x Union Viera CF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212930 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Villa Sta Brigida x Union Viera CF
Should you bet on Villa Sta Brigida?
🔵 Villa Sta Brigida: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $401.20
- And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$8.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $696.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$14.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it worth betting on Union Viera CF?
🔴 Union Viera CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Villa Sta Brigida x Union Viera CF
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Villa Sta Brigida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villa Sta Brigida x Union Viera CF
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Villa Sta Brigida, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Villa Sta Brigida.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Villa Sta Brigida.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villa Sta Brigida x Union Viera CF
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
