Villarreal x Girona Betting tips for December 1 in Spain La Liga
| 📅 1/12/2024 13:00 |
 Villarreal1.88 |
X 3.60 |
Girona  3.76 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Villarreal x Girona:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Villarreal x Girona
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The main points for the tip for Villarreal x Girona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarreal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0. |
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Analysis from Villarreal x Girona for the Spain La Liga – 1 of December
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🏟️ Villarreal X Girona – Spain La Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Villarreal x Girona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Villarreal x Girona
Is betting on Villarreal worth it?
🔵 Villarreal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 550 times – profiting $484.00;
- And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$34.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $676.00
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.
Is betting on Girona worth it?
🔴 Girona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$248.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Villarreal x Girona
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Villarreal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villarreal x Girona
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Villarreal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Villarreal.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villarreal x Girona
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
