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Home » Predictions » Others » Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 18
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 17h00 Spain Tercera Group 18
Villarrobledo Villarrobledo
PREDICTION Villarrobledo wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
CD Noblejas CD Noblejas
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction!

Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 18

Our betting tip for Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
17:00
Villarrobledo Villarrobledo
1.73
X
3.30
CD Noblejas CD Noblejas
4.28

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas:

🔮 Villarrobledo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Villarrobledo, you can win up to $865.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarrobledo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0.
👉 Villarrobledo did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, CD Noblejas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Villarrobledo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 CD Noblejas matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CD Noblejas conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 1 of December

🏟️ Villarrobledo X CD Noblejas – Spain Tercera Group 18
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Villarrobledo – Winning probability: 64.71% | Fair line: 1.55
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.86% | Fair line: 4.02
🔴 CD Noblejas – Winning probability: 10.43% | Fair line: 9.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Villarrobledo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas

Is it a good idea to bet on Villarrobledo?

🔵 Villarrobledo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $474.50
  • And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$124.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is betting on CD Noblejas worth it?

🔴 CD Noblejas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $328.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$572.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Villarrobledo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Villarrobledo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Villarrobledo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 CD Noblejas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villarrobledo x CD Noblejas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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