Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas Betting tips for December 12 in France National
| π
12/12/2025 18:30 |
Villefranche2.48 |
X 3.04 |
Bourg-Peronnas ![]() 2.65 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas
The main points for the tip for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas:
π If you had bet $100 on Villefranche in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $303.0.
π In the last 5 matches as the home team, Villefranche scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bourg-Peronnas, Villefranche scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 4 matches as the home team, Villefranche conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π Playing as the home team, Villefranche conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Bourg-Peronnas.
π Villefranche has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Bourg-Peronnas playing at home.
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Analysis from Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas for the France National – 12 of December
ποΈ Villefranche X Bourg-Peronnas – France National
π
12 of December, 2025 – 18:30
π΅ Villefranche – Winning probability: 31.28% | Fair line: 3.2
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.88% | Fair line: 3.46
π΄ Bourg-Peronnas – Winning probability: 39.84% | Fair line: 2.51
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Villefranche
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Villefranche and Bourg-Peronnas.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452043 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas
Is it worth betting on Villefranche?
π΅ Villefranche: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $458.80;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$231.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $591.60
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$118.40.
Is it worth betting on Bourg-Peronnas?
π΄ Bourg-Peronnas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
- And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$60.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Villefranche
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Villefranche, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Villefranche.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Villefranche