Virtus Flaminia x Montespaccato Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Virtus Flaminia x Montespaccato, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 13:30

Virtus Flaminia 1.76

X 3.40

Montespaccato 3.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Virtus Flaminia x Montespaccato:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Virtus Flaminia x Montespaccato

Important information for your tip for Virtus Flaminia x Montespaccato:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Virtus Flaminia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-326.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Montespaccato scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Montespaccato, Virtus Flaminia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Montespaccato matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Virtus Flaminia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Montespaccato conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Virtus Flaminia has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Montespaccato.

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Analysis from Virtus Flaminia x Montespaccato for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Virtus Flaminia and Montespaccato.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Virtus Flaminia x Montespaccato

Should you bet on Virtus Flaminia?

🔵 Virtus Flaminia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 570 times – profiting $433.20;
• And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$3.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Should you bet on Montespaccato?

🔴 Montespaccato: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $638.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Virtus Flaminia x Montespaccato

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Virtus Flaminia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Virtus Flaminia x Montespaccato

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Virtus Flaminia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Virtus Flaminia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Virtus Flaminia x Montespaccato

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.