Virtus Francavilla x FC Pompei Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 14/12/2025 14:00 |
 Virtus Francavilla2.12 |
X 3.30 |
FC Pompei  2.91 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Virtus Francavilla x FC Pompei:
🔮 FC Pompei wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Pompei, you can win up to $1455.00!
The main points for the tip for Virtus Francavilla x FC Pompei:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Virtus Francavilla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-197.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Pompei in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $618.0.
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Analysis from Virtus Francavilla x FC Pompei for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December
🏟️ Virtus Francavilla X FC Pompei – Italy Serie D
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Virtus Francavilla – Winning probability: 45.13% | Fair line: 2.22
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.23% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 FC Pompei – Winning probability: 30.64% | Fair line: 3.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Virtus Francavilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Virtus Francavilla and FC Pompei.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Virtus Francavilla x FC Pompei
Is it worth betting on Virtus Francavilla?
🔵 Virtus Francavilla: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 450 times – profiting $504.00;
- And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$46.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.
Is it worth betting on FC Pompei?
🔴 FC Pompei: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $592.10
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$97.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Virtus Francavilla x FC Pompei
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Virtus Francavilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Virtus Francavilla x FC Pompei
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Virtus Francavilla, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Virtus Francavilla.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Virtus Francavilla x FC Pompei
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
