Virtus Verona x Atalanta U23 Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group A
| 📅 29/9/2024 15:45 |
 Virtus Verona3.10 |
X 3.10 |
Atalanta U23  2.20 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Virtus Verona x Atalanta U23:
🔮 Atalanta U23 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta U23, you can win up to $1100.00!
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The main points for the tip for Virtus Verona x Atalanta U23: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Virtus Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. |
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Analysis from Virtus Verona x Atalanta U23 for the Italy Serie C Group A – 29 of September
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🏟️ Virtus Verona X Atalanta U23 – Italy Serie C Group A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Virtus Verona x Atalanta U23 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Virtus Verona x Atalanta U23
Is betting on Virtus Verona worth it?
🔵 Virtus Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $273.00;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$597.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $462.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$318.00.
Is betting on Atalanta U23 worth it?
🔴 Atalanta U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $780.00;
- And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$430.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Virtus Verona x Atalanta U23
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Virtus Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Virtus Verona x Atalanta U23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Virtus Verona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Virtus Verona.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Virtus Verona x Atalanta U23
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
