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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli Betting tips for November 2 in Italy Serie C Group A
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie C Group A
Virtus Verona Virtus Verona
PREDICTION No tip
Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli
Don't miss this prediction!

Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli Betting tips for November 2 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli, Saturday, 2/11/2024
πŸ“… 2/11/2024
14:00
Virtus Verona Virtus Verona
2.05
X
3.10
Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli
3.52

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli

The main points for the tip for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Virtus Verona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $320.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pro Vercelli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Virtus Verona scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Pro Vercelli matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Virtus Verona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Virtus Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Pro Vercelli conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Virtus Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Pro Vercelli.

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Summary

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Analysis from Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli for the Italy Serie C Group A – 2 of November

🏟️ Virtus Verona X Pro Vercelli – Italy Serie C Group A
πŸ“… 2 of November, 2024 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Virtus Verona – Winning probability: 40.11% | Fair line: 2.49
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.23% | Fair line: 3.42
πŸ”΄ Pro Vercelli – Winning probability: 30.66% | Fair line: 3.26
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Virtus Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli

Is it worth betting on Virtus Verona?

πŸ”΅ Virtus Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$180.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $609.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$101.00.

Should you bet on Pro Vercelli?

πŸ”΄ Pro Vercelli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $781.20;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$91.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Virtus Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Virtus Verona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Virtus Verona.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Virtus Verona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Virtus Verona x Pro Vercelli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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