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Home » Predictions » Others » Vis Pesaro x Lucchese Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie C Group B
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie C Group B
Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro
PREDICTION Vis Pesaro wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Lucchese Lucchese
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Vis Pesaro x Lucchese Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Vis Pesaro x Lucchese, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro
2.00
X
3.20
Lucchese Lucchese
3.43

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Vis Pesaro x Lucchese:

🔮 Vis Pesaro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vis Pesaro, you can win up to $1000.00!

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The main points for the tip for Vis Pesaro x Lucchese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vis Pesaro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-38.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lucchese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Lucchese did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Vis Pesaro scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Vis Pesaro conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Lucchese.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vis Pesaro x Lucchese for the Italy Serie C Group B – 30 of November

🏟️ Vis Pesaro X Lucchese – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Vis Pesaro – Winning probability: 59.31% | Fair line: 1.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.31% | Fair line: 4.29
🔴 Lucchese – Winning probability: 17.38% | Fair line: 5.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vis Pesaro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Vis Pesaro and Lucchese.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vis Pesaro x Lucchese

Is it a good idea to bet on Vis Pesaro?

🔵 Vis Pesaro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $590.00;
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$180.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is betting on Lucchese worth it?

🔴 Lucchese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $413.10;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$416.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vis Pesaro x Lucchese

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vis Pesaro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vis Pesaro x Lucchese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Vis Pesaro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Vis Pesaro. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vis Pesaro x Lucchese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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