Vitesse x Helmond Sport Betting tips for November 29 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Vitesse x Helmond Sport, Friday, 29/11/2024

📅 29/11/2024 19:00

Vitesse 2.30

X 3.50

Helmond Sport 2.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Vitesse x Helmond Sport:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Vitesse x Helmond Sport

Important information for your tip for Vitesse x Helmond Sport: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitesse in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Helmond Sport in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $230.0. 👉 In the last 6 Helmond Sport matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Helmond Sport conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Vitesse x Helmond Sport for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 29 of November

When the best bet on Vitesse x Helmond Sport is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vitesse x Helmond Sport

Should you bet on Vitesse?

🔵 Vitesse: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $559.00
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$11.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$195.00.

Is betting on Helmond Sport worth it?

🔴 Helmond Sport: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $595.00;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Vitesse x Helmond Sport

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vitesse
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitesse x Helmond Sport

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Vitesse, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Vitesse.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Vitesse.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitesse x Helmond Sport

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.