Vitoria x EC Bahia Betting tips for March 23 in Brazil Campeonato Baiano

Our betting tip for Vitoria x EC Bahia, Sunday, 23/3/2025

📅 23/3/2025 19:00

Vitoria 2.25

X 3.20

EC Bahia 2.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vitoria x EC Bahia:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Vitoria x EC Bahia

Some important points for the tip for Vitoria x EC Bahia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $8.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-16.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against EC Bahia, Vitoria scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Vitoria x EC Bahia, with Vitoria as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Vitoria conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against EC Bahia. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, EC Bahia has not lost any of them. 👉 Vitoria has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against EC Bahia playing at home.

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Analysis from Vitoria x EC Bahia for the Brazil Campeonato Baiano – 23 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vitoria x EC Bahia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1286085 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vitoria x EC Bahia

Is it worth betting on Vitoria?

🔵 Vitoria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$145.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $660.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on EC Bahia?

🔴 EC Bahia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $608.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria x EC Bahia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria x EC Bahia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Vitoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Vitoria.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 EC Bahia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria x EC Bahia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.