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Home » Predictions » Others » Vitoria x Sport Recife Betting tips for March 20 in Brazil Copa Nordeste
Thursday, 20 March 2025, 00h30 Brazil Copa Nordeste
Vitoria Vitoria
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Sport Recife Sport Recife
ODD: @3.16 Don't miss this prediction!

Vitoria x Sport Recife Betting tips for March 20 in Brazil Copa Nordeste

Our betting tip for Vitoria x Sport Recife, Thursday, 20/3/2025
📅 20/3/2025
00:30
Vitoria Vitoria
2.17
X
3.16
Sport Recife Sport Recife
3.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Vitoria x Sport Recife:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1580.00!

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Important information for your tip for Vitoria x Sport Recife:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-97.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sport Recife, Vitoria scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Sport Recife has not lost any of them.
👉 Vitoria has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Sport Recife playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Vitoria x Sport Recife?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Vitoria x Sport Recife:

Analysis from Vitoria x Sport Recife for the Brazil Copa Nordeste – 20 of March

🏟️ Vitoria X Sport Recife – Brazil Copa Nordeste
📅 20 of March, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Vitoria – Winning probability: 42.00% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.15% | Fair line: 2.93
🔴 Sport Recife – Winning probability: 23.85% | Fair line: 4.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Vitoria and Sport Recife.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1284629 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vitoria x Sport Recife

Is it worth betting on Vitoria?

🔵 Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $491.40
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$88.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $734.40
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$74.40.

Should you bet on Sport Recife?

🔴 Sport Recife: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria x Sport Recife

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria x Sport Recife

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Vitoria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Vitoria.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sport Recife.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria x Sport Recife

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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