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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Vizela x CD Mafra Betting tips for September 30 in Portugal Segunda Liga
Monday, 30 September 2024, 14h00 Portugal Segunda Liga
Vizela Vizela
PREDICTION No tip
CD Mafra CD Mafra
Don't miss this prediction!

Vizela x CD Mafra Betting tips for September 30 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Vizela x CD Mafra, Monday, 30/9/2024
πŸ“… 30/9/2024
14:00
Vizela Vizela
1.94
X
3.30
CD Mafra CD Mafra
3.61

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vizela x CD Mafra:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Vizela x CD Mafra

The main points for the tip for Vizela x CD Mafra:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vizela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Mafra in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $225.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Vizela scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, CD Mafra has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Vizela x CD Mafra?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vizela x CD Mafra, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Vizela x CD Mafra for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 30 of September

🏟️ Vizela X CD Mafra – Portugal Segunda Liga
πŸ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Vizela – Winning probability: 50.57% | Fair line: 1.98
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.40% | Fair line: 3.94
πŸ”΄ CD Mafra – Winning probability: 24.03% | Fair line: 4.16
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Vizela
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Vizela and CD Mafra.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vizela x CD Mafra

Should you bet on Vizela?

πŸ”΅ Vizela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $479.40;
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$10.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Mafra?

πŸ”΄ CD Mafra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $626.40;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$133.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vizela x CD Mafra

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Vizela
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vizela x CD Mafra

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Vizela and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Vizela. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vizela x CD Mafra

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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