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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC Betting tips for November 25 in Botswana Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Botswana Premier League
Vtm FC Vtm FC
PREDICTION No tip
Morupule Wanderers FC Morupule Wanderers FC
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Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC Betting tips for November 25 in Botswana Premier League

Our betting tip for Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
14:00
Vtm FC Vtm FC
2.41
X
3.02
Morupule Wanderers FC Morupule Wanderers FC
2.73

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC

Some important points for the tip for Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on VTM FC in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-400.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Morupule Wanderers FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, VTM FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Morupule Wanderers FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for VTM FC as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC

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Summary

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Analysis from Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC for the Botswana Premier League – 25 of November

🏟️ Vtm FC X Morupule Wanderers FC – Botswana Premier League
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Vtm FC – Winning probability: 37.26% | Fair line: 2.68
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.93% | Fair line: 3.46
πŸ”΄ Morupule Wanderers FC – Winning probability: 33.81% | Fair line: 2.96
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Vtm FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC

Is it worth betting on Vtm FC?

πŸ”΅ Vtm FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $521.70;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$108.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $585.80
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$124.20.

Is betting on Morupule Wanderers FC worth it?

πŸ”΄ Morupule Wanderers FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $588.20
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$71.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Vtm FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Vtm FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Vtm FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Morupule Wanderers FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vtm FC x Morupule Wanderers FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves