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Home » Predictions » Vtm FC x UF Santos Betting tips for November 30 in Botswana Premier League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Botswana Premier League
Vtm FC Vtm FC
PREDICTION Vtm FC wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
UF Santos UF Santos
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction!

Vtm FC x UF Santos Betting tips for November 30 in Botswana Premier League

Our betting tip for Vtm FC x UF Santos, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
Vtm FC Vtm FC
1.37
X
4.20
UF Santos UF Santos
6.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Vtm FC x UF Santos:

🔮 Vtm FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vtm FC, you can win up to $685.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Vtm FC x UF Santos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on VTM FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UF Santos in each of its last 3 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.
👉 In the last 4 VTM FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 UF Santos matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, UF Santos conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for UF Santos as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vtm FC x UF Santos for the Botswana Premier League – 30 of November

🏟️ Vtm FC X UF Santos – Botswana Premier League
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Vtm FC – Winning probability: 89.58% | Fair line: 1.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.08% | Fair line: 14.12
🔴 UF Santos – Winning probability: 3.33% | Fair line: 29.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vtm FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vtm FC x UF Santos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vtm FC x UF Santos

Is it worth betting on Vtm FC?

🔵 Vtm FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 89.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $333.00
  • And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$233.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $224.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$706.00.

Is betting on UF Santos worth it?

🔴 UF Santos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $168.90
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$801.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vtm FC x UF Santos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vtm FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vtm FC x UF Santos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Vtm FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Vtm FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 UF Santos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vtm FC x UF Santos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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