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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Algeria Division 2
WA Boufarik WA Boufarik
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 17% 1 X 2
ESM Kolea ESM Kolea
ODD: @2.96 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea Betting tips for November 24 in Algeria Division 2

Our betting tip for WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
14:00
WA Boufarik WA Boufarik
2.00
X
2.96
ESM Kolea ESM Kolea
3.72

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1480.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on WA Boufarik in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $33.0.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea:

Analysis from WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea for the Algeria Division 2 – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ WA Boufarik X ESM Kolea – Algeria Division 2
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต WA Boufarik – Winning probability: 38.52% | Fair line: 2.6
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 43.90% | Fair line: 2.28
๐Ÿ”ด ESM Kolea – Winning probability: 17.57% | Fair line: 5.69
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 WA Boufarik
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea

Is it a good idea to bet on WA Boufarik?

๐Ÿ”ต WA Boufarik: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $390.00;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$220.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $862.40;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$302.40.

Is it worth betting on ESM Kolea?

๐Ÿ”ด ESM Kolea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $489.60
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$330.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 WA Boufarik
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 WA Boufarik, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 WA Boufarik.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for WA Boufarik x ESM Kolea

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves