Walsall x Carlisle Betting tips for October 22 in England League 2
| 📅 22/10/2024 18:45 |
 Walsall1.62 |
X 3.80 |
Carlisle  5.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Walsall x Carlisle:
🔮 Walsall wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Walsall, you can win up to $810.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Walsall x Carlisle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Walsall in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $145.0. |
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Analysis from Walsall x Carlisle for the England League 2 – 22 of October
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🏟️ Walsall X Carlisle – England League 2 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Walsall and Carlisle.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206441 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Walsall x Carlisle
Should you bet on Walsall?
🔵 Walsall: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 680 times – profiting $421.60;
- And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$101.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $532.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$278.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Carlisle?
🔴 Carlisle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $520.00;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$350.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Walsall x Carlisle
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Walsall
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Walsall x Carlisle
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Walsall, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Walsall.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Carlisle.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Walsall x Carlisle
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
