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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League South
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Southern Premier League South
Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham
PREDICTION No tip
Merthyr Town Merthyr Town
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Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League South

Our betting tip for Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham
2.25
X
3.70
Merthyr Town Merthyr Town
2.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town

Important information for your tip for Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Walton & Hersham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-28.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Merthyr Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-79.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, Walton & Hersham scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Merthyr Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town

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Summary

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Analysis from Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town for the England Southern Premier League South – 25 of November

🏟️ Walton & Hersham X Merthyr Town – England Southern Premier League South
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Walton & Hersham – Winning probability: 49.00% | Fair line: 2.04
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.85% | Fair line: 5.04
πŸ”΄ Merthyr Town – Winning probability: 31.15% | Fair line: 3.21
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Walton & Hersham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town

Is it a good idea to bet on Walton & Hersham?

πŸ”΅ Walton & Hersham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $612.50;
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$102.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$260.00.

Is betting on Merthyr Town worth it?

πŸ”΄ Merthyr Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $465.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$225.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Walton & Hersham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Walton & Hersham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Walton & Hersham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Walton & Hersham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Walton & Hersham x Merthyr Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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