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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Poland III Liga
Warta Gorzow Warta Gorzow
PREDICTION Warta Gorzow wins Probability 8% 1 X 2
LZS Starowice Dolne LZS Starowice Dolne
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
12:00
Warta Gorzow Warta Gorzow
1.50
X
4.10
LZS Starowice Dolne LZS Starowice Dolne
5.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Warta Gorzow wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Warta Gorzow, you can win up to $750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Warta Gorzow in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on LZS Starowice Dolne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ LZS Starowice Dolne did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Warta Gorzow scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 LZS Starowice Dolne matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Warta Gorzow conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, LZS Starowice Dolne conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for LZS Starowice Dolne as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne for the Poland III Liga – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Warta Gorzow X LZS Starowice Dolne – Poland III Liga
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Warta Gorzow – Winning probability: 76.54% | Fair line: 1.31
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.36% | Fair line: 6.51
๐Ÿ”ด LZS Starowice Dolne – Winning probability: 8.10% | Fair line: 12.35
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Warta Gorzow
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne

Is it worth betting on Warta Gorzow?

๐Ÿ”ต Warta Gorzow: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $385.00
  • And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$155.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $465.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$385.00.

Should you bet on LZS Starowice Dolne?

๐Ÿ”ด LZS Starowice Dolne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $336.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$584.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Warta Gorzow
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Warta Gorzow, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Warta Gorzow.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 LZS Starowice Dolne.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Warta Gorzow x LZS Starowice Dolne

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves