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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Wealdstone x Barnet Betting tips for November 25 in England National League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League
Wealdstone Wealdstone
PREDICTION Barnet Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Barnet Barnet
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Wealdstone x Barnet Betting tips for November 25 in England National League

Our betting tip for Wealdstone x Barnet, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Wealdstone Wealdstone
3.36
X
3.55
Barnet Barnet
1.91

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Wealdstone x Barnet:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Barnet wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barnet, you can win up to $955.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Wealdstone x Barnet:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Wealdstone in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $252.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Barnet in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-66.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Wealdstone scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Barnet scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Wealdstone conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Wealdstone x Barnet

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Summary

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Analysis from Wealdstone x Barnet for the England National League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Wealdstone X Barnet – England National League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Wealdstone – Winning probability: 21.09% | Fair line: 4.74
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.29% | Fair line: 4.93
๐Ÿ”ด Barnet – Winning probability: 58.62% | Fair line: 1.71
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Wealdstone
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Wealdstone x Barnet is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Wealdstone x Barnet

Is it worth betting on Wealdstone?

๐Ÿ”ต Wealdstone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $495.60;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$294.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $510.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$290.00.

Should you bet on Barnet?

๐Ÿ”ด Barnet: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – profiting $536.90;
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$126.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Wealdstone x Barnet

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Wealdstone
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wealdstone x Barnet

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Wealdstone and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Wealdstone.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Barnet.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wealdstone x Barnet

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves