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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Welling x Yeovil Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League South
Welling Welling
PREDICTION Yeovil Wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Yeovil Yeovil
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Welling x Yeovil Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Welling x Yeovil, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Welling Welling
4.63
X
3.80
Yeovil Yeovil
1.57

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Welling x Yeovil:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Yeovil wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Yeovil, you can win up to $785.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Welling x Yeovil:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Welling in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Yeovil in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $215.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Yeovil scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Yeovil conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Welling x Yeovil

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Welling x Yeovil?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Welling x Yeovil:

Analysis from Welling x Yeovil for the England National League South – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Welling X Yeovil – England National League South
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Welling – Winning probability: 9.27% | Fair line: 10.79
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.36% | Fair line: 6.11
๐Ÿ”ด Yeovil – Winning probability: 74.37% | Fair line: 1.34
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Welling
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Welling x Yeovil right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Welling x Yeovil

Should you bet on Welling?

๐Ÿ”ต Welling: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $326.70;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$583.30.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $448.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$392.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Yeovil?

๐Ÿ”ด Yeovil: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $421.80;
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$161.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Welling x Yeovil

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Welling
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Welling x Yeovil

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Welling, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Welling.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Welling.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Welling x Yeovil

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves