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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City Betting tips for November 25 in Australia A-League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Australia A-League
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
PREDICTION Melbourne City Wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Melbourne City Melbourne City
ODD: @1.96 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City Betting tips for November 25 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
03:30
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
3.25
X
3.80
Melbourne City Melbourne City
1.96

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Melbourne City wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Melbourne City, you can win up to $980.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Wellington Phoenix in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $240.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Melbourne City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $315.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Wellington Phoenix scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Wellington Phoenix matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City, with Wellington Phoenix as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Wellington Phoenix conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Wellington Phoenix conceded at least 3 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Melbourne City.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Even as a visitor, Melbourne City won the last 3 head-to-head matches Wellington Phoenixยดs territory

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City for the Australia A-League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Wellington Phoenix X Melbourne City – Australia A-League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 03:30
๐Ÿ”ต Wellington Phoenix – Winning probability: 13.09% | Fair line: 7.64
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.37% | Fair line: 6.11
๐Ÿ”ด Melbourne City – Winning probability: 70.54% | Fair line: 1.42
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Wellington Phoenix
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City

Should you bet on Wellington Phoenix?

๐Ÿ”ต Wellington Phoenix: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $292.50;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$577.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $448.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$392.00.

Is it worth betting on Melbourne City?

๐Ÿ”ด Melbourne City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $681.60;
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$391.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Wellington Phoenix
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Wellington Phoenix, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Wellington Phoenix.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Wellington Phoenix.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wellington Phoenix x Melbourne City

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves