Wellington Phoenix x Newcastle Jets Betting tips for December 14 in Australia A-League
| 📅 14/12/2025 02:00 |
 Wellington Phoenix2.30 |
X 3.75 |
Newcastle Jets  2.70 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Wellington Phoenix x Newcastle Jets:
🔮 Wellington Phoenix wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wellington Phoenix, you can win up to $1150.00!
The main points for the tip for Wellington Phoenix x Newcastle Jets:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wellington Phoenix in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $1630.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle Jets in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $345.0.
👉 In the last 6 Newcastle Jets matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix x Newcastle Jets, with Wellington Phoenix as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Wellington Phoenix conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Newcastle Jets conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Wellington Phoenix conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Newcastle Jets.
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Analysis from Wellington Phoenix x Newcastle Jets for the Australia A-League – 14 of December
🏟️ Wellington Phoenix X Newcastle Jets – Australia A-League
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 02:00
🔵 Wellington Phoenix – Winning probability: 47.02% | Fair line: 2.13
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.77% | Fair line: 5.33
🔴 Newcastle Jets – Winning probability: 34.20% | Fair line: 2.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Wellington Phoenix
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Wellington Phoenix x Newcastle Jets is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452605 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Wellington Phoenix x Newcastle Jets
Is it a good idea to bet on Wellington Phoenix?
🔵 Wellington Phoenix: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $611.00
- And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$81.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $522.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$287.50.
Is betting on Newcastle Jets worth it?
🔴 Newcastle Jets: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $578.00;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$82.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Wellington Phoenix x Newcastle Jets
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Wellington Phoenix
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wellington Phoenix x Newcastle Jets
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Wellington Phoenix, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Wellington Phoenix.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Newcastle Jets.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wellington Phoenix x Newcastle Jets
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
