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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women Betting tips for November 10 in Australia A-League Women
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 03h00 Australia A-League Women
Wellington Phoenix Women Wellington Phoenix Women
PREDICTION No tip
Canberra Utd Women Canberra Utd Women
Don't miss this prediction!

Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women Betting tips for November 10 in Australia A-League Women

Our betting tip for Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women, Sunday, 10/11/2024
πŸ“… 10/11/2024
03:00
Wellington Phoenix Women Wellington Phoenix Women
1.78
X
3.90
Canberra Utd Women Canberra Utd Women
3.34

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women

Some important points for the tip for Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Wellington Phoenix Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $127.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Wellington Phoenix Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Canberra Utd Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Canberra Utd Women matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Canberra Utd Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women for the Australia A-League Women – 10 of November

🏟️ Wellington Phoenix Women X Canberra Utd Women – Australia A-League Women
πŸ“… 10 of November, 2024 – 03:00
πŸ”΅ Wellington Phoenix Women – Winning probability: 62.31% | Fair line: 1.6
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.20% | Fair line: 5.21
πŸ”΄ Canberra Utd Women – Winning probability: 18.50% | Fair line: 5.41
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Wellington Phoenix Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218775 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women

Is it a good idea to bet on Wellington Phoenix Women?

πŸ”΅ Wellington Phoenix Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $483.60
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$103.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $551.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$259.00.

Is betting on Canberra Utd Women worth it?

πŸ”΄ Canberra Utd Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $421.20;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$398.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Wellington Phoenix Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Wellington Phoenix Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Wellington Phoenix Women.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Canberra Utd Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wellington Phoenix Women x Canberra Utd Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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